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Swap Rates Rundown: January 2026 Highlights

January 2026 Highlights

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Sahil Pankhaniya
Analyst
Swap Rates Rundown Jan 2026

3 Things to Know:

  • Rates swing higher. Rates reversed early declines to climb 5 bps, remaining at their highest levels since last August. 
  • Policy and geopolitical risks intensify. Uncertainty grew as President Trump changed his mind on the new Fed Chair, formally announcing Kevin Warsh as the nominee. At the same time, markets weighed the possibility of US interventions in Venezuela, Iran and Greenland. 
  • Fed holds rates. The FOMC left rates unchanged for the first time since last July, with two dissenters in favor of a 25bp cut. At his press conference, Chair Powell noted an improved economic outlook and diminished labor market risks. 

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Sahil Pankhaniya
Sahil Pankhaniya is an Associate at Derivative Path, where he structures and executes interest rate and FX hedging strategies for community, regional, and super-regional banks. He previously worked as an Investment Analyst at West Potomac Capital where he specialized in conducting fundamental analysis on U.S. banks and helped advise the U.S. Treasury Department on investments in community financial institutions. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Statistics and Finance from The George Washington University.

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