Daily Market Color

Yield Curve Remains Flat Heading Into Year-End

Q4 has seen a dramatic tightening of spreads between short & long-term rates…

  • 2y vs 10y has contracted by more the 60bps to its narrowest gap since November 2020
  • 5y vs 10y has tightened by more than 25bps to less than 0.20% – least since May 2020

Santa Claus rally stalls. One day after notching a record high, the S&P 500 pulled back 0.10% in another trading session of light volumes. Other major equity indices were mixed, the Dow gaining 0.26% and Nasdaq declining 0.56%, led lower by the tech sector. In commodities markets, the price of gold climbed to a one-month high of $1,812/oz as the persistent inflationary pressures provide demand for the safe-haven asset.

Less heat in the housing market. A very limited data day was headlined by the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, which displayed home prices in the major metropolitan areas rising 19.1% YoY in October (vs. 19.7% in the prior month). While there was a slowing, it is important to note that the +19.1% still represents the 4th highest reading ever. The two cities with the highest growth in home prices were Phoenix and Tampa.

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